Poll: Vasquez leads Herrell in New Mexico’s 2nd Congressional District race
ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. — A new KOB 4/SurveyUSA poll shows that incumbent Democratic U.S. Rep. Gabe Vasquez has a solid lead over Republican challenger Yvette Herrell.
We asked voters in New Mexico’s Second Congressional District, “If the election was held today, who would you vote for?” Here were the results:
- Gabe Vasquez: 51%
- Yvette Herrell: 42%
- Undecided: 8%
582 likely voters surveyed. Credibility interval of +/- 4.5 percentage points
This race is a rematch of two years ago when Vasquez beat Herrell when she was the incumbent. Vasquez has served CD-2 since winning in 2022, representing much of southern New Mexico, including communities like Alamogordo, Carlsbad, Silver City and Las Cruces, and parts of the Albuquerque metro like the West Side and the South Valley.
We asked voters, “What is your opinion on Gabe Vasquez?”
- 45% have a favorable opinion of him
- 31% have an unfavorable opinion
- 18% are neutral
- 5% have no opinion
582 likely voters surveyed. Credibility interval of +/- 4.5 percentage points
We also asked voters about their opinion on Yvette Herrell:
- 34% have a favorable opinion
- 41% have an unfavorable opinion
- 20% are neutral
- 6% have no opinion
582 likely voters surveyed. Credibility interval of +/- 4.5 percentage points
There are many issues that are playing into elections across the board so we asked CD-2 voters, “Which of these issues will have the most influence on your vote for the U.S. House of Representatives?”
- Immigration and border: 28%
- Abortion: 17%
- Inflation: 16%
- Crime: 12%
582 likely voters surveyed. Credibility interval of +/- 4.5 percentage points
Jumping off of that question, we also asked about how much of a deciding issue immigration and the border is:
- Conservatives: 48%
- Moderates: 22%
- Liberals: 5%
And about how much of a deciding issue abortion is:
- Conservatives: 5%
- Moderates: 15%
- Liberals: 42%